Model Predictions
| Model | Fresno State Bulldogs | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.2% | 85.8% | +9.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +25 (85-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Gory | 36 | 6-15 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Heidbreder | 36 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| W. Jacques | 34 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Rieber | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Faas | 27 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Soqui Urbano | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| G. Kocevar | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Porto | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Diouf | 4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Owusu-Anane | 30 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| B. Moore Jr. | 29 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 21 | - |
| J. Henley | 28 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| E. Demirel | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D. Stromer | 23 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 19 | - |
| M. Williams | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Evans | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| C. Shaw | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Smith | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Boisdur | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Pepe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter