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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Grand Canyon Lopes Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 34.6% 65.4% -
Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% -

Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +25 (85-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Gory 36 6-15 0-4 1-3 9 1 1 1 4 13 6 -
J. Heidbreder 36 2-10 1-5 2-2 3 4 2 0 1 7 5 -
W. Jacques 34 6-15 0-3 3-5 8 0 0 1 2 15 7 -
B. Rieber 28 2-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 4 7 2 -
C. Faas 27 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
A. Soqui Urbano 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 0 -
G. Kocevar 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Porto 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
M. Diouf 4 2-3 1-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 -

Grand Canyon Lopes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Owusu-Anane 30 4-10 2-6 2-2 6 2 3 0 0 12 13 -
B. Moore Jr. 29 8-9 2-3 0-0 5 5 2 1 1 18 21 -
J. Henley 28 4-13 1-5 2-3 5 5 3 0 4 11 7 -
E. Demirel 23 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 2 1 6 13 -
D. Stromer 23 5-8 5-7 2-2 5 4 1 0 0 17 19 -
M. Williams 19 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -3 -
D. Evans 17 5-8 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 2 0 12 13 -
C. Shaw 16 1-3 1-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 1 5 9 -
K. Smith 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
E. Boisdur 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Pepe 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter