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2026-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Utah State Aggies Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 18.3% 81.7% +8.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 22.0% 78.0% -
Points Off/Def 31.4% 68.6% -

Actual: Utah State Aggies +19 (75-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Meadow 32 3-7 1-4 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 3 -
J. Buchanan 25 1-7 0-3 3-4 3 2 0 1 1 5 3 -
D. Andrews 25 4-11 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 9 1 -
P. Carmichael 24 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Fielder 23 5-12 2-2 2-2 8 2 0 0 3 14 9 -
A. Neto 19 1-4 1-3 1-2 0 3 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Parolin 17 4-5 1-1 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 9 9 -
RJ Keene 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
S. Ahrens 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
B. Buom 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Falslev 31 7-14 1-2 2-4 3 1 1 0 2 17 6 -
MJ Collins 30 5-7 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
D. Allen 28 1-7 0-3 2-3 2 6 2 1 0 4 8 -
Z. Keller 23 4-5 1-2 1-2 7 2 1 0 0 10 15 -
K. King 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 5 -
K. Templin 19 2-5 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 2 0 7 7 -
A. Elamin 18 4-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
E. Perryman 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
G. Clark 11 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 7 8 -
T. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Barnes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Kearney 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter