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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 9.5% 90.5% -
Margin 5.2% 94.8% +15.9 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 21.8% 78.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.9% 97.1% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -
Points Off/Def 18.2% 81.8% -

Actual: Boise State Broncos +15 (84-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Garland 40 9-17 0-4 4-4 2 5 1 0 1 22 12 +2.0
A. Myers 40 10-20 1-6 2-2 8 0 0 1 0 23 12 +2.0
S. NgaNga 40 4-11 2-6 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 10 8 +2.0
M. Bell Jr. 40 3-9 0-1 1-1 5 0 1 0 1 7 3 -
J. Moupadele 25 3-9 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 7 -3 +2.0
D. Langford 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Overstreet 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Meadow 33 5-10 2-4 4-4 3 3 0 0 3 16 9 -2.0
J. Buchanan 31 3-5 1-1 4-4 7 2 1 0 1 11 15 -2.0
D. Andrews 28 4-9 2-6 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 12 8 -2.0
D. Fielder 27 9-13 0-2 2-3 5 2 1 2 1 20 16 -2.0
P. Carmichael 26 1-3 1-3 3-4 4 2 0 0 0 6 9 -2.0
D. Parolin 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
RJ Keene 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
A. Neto 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Ahrens 6 1-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
B. Buom 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter