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2026-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos San José State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 83.6% 16.4% -
Bradley-Terry 84.3% 15.7% -
Margin 88.9% 11.1% -11.5 (19.5 off)
Pythagorean 72.2% 27.8% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% -
Points Off/Def 72.2% 27.8% -

Actual: San José State Spartans -31 (58-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Andrews 24 3-7 1-5 4-4 2 4 0 0 3 11 7 +5.2
A. Meadow 24 7-12 1-4 0-1 5 2 1 0 0 15 11 +12.3
D. Fielder 24 6-10 1-1 3-4 8 3 0 1 1 16 17 +7.4
RJ Keene 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 0 8 +8.7
A. Neto 21 4-6 0-1 1-1 4 5 0 0 2 9 10 +18.7
P. Carmichael 20 3-6 2-4 3-3 5 0 0 0 1 11 9 +16.0
J. Buchanan 20 2-6 0-1 2-4 7 1 1 0 1 6 8 +6.4
S. Ahrens 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 2 4 +15.2
D. Parolin 14 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 +10.4
B. Buom 10 3-3 0-0 5-8 2 2 0 0 0 11 12 +6.4
E. Lathan 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +4.8
R. Bergersen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.8

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Goodarzi 33 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 6 4 -19.8
C. Garland 31 4-10 0-2 2-2 0 4 0 0 3 10 1 -19.3
J. Washington 30 4-12 4-8 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 13 1 -16.9
M. Bell Jr. 29 0-4 0-1 1-3 5 0 2 0 0 1 4 -
A. Myers 25 3-7 2-3 0-2 1 2 1 0 2 8 3 -5.5
M. Overstreet 25 2-4 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 0 1 5 8 -12.1
S. NgaNga 25 5-11 0-4 5-6 2 0 0 0 2 15 4 -21.3
D. Langford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter