Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +1 (68-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dent | 40 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | -3.8 |
| P. Murauskas | 38 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | -2.5 |
| D. Shaw | 34 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +1.7 |
| A. McKeever | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -9.4 |
| L. Campbell | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -0.2 |
| H. Wessels | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.3 |
| M. Lewis | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -12.7 |
| T. Duckett | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | +7.2 |
| R. Hawke | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.5 |
| M. Juzenas | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Buchanan | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +12.9 |
| D. Andrews | 31 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -7.0 |
| A. Meadow | 27 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +5.6 |
| P. Carmichael | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +6.0 |
| RJ Keene | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | +17.0 |
| D. Fielder | 21 | 10-17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 8 | +2.1 |
| D. Parolin | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | +4.1 |
| A. Neto | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | -2.5 |
| S. Ahrens | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
* = starter