Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +6 (79-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rechsteiner | 31 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | -5.9 |
| J. Pascarelli | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -13.0 |
| J. Butler | 27 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.4 |
| J. Muniz | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | +1.9 |
| R. Mbemba | 25 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | -9.7 |
| A. Kiudulas | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -0.1 |
| K. Jorgensen | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.9 |
| C. Booth | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.3 |
| D. Slater | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.0 |
| J. McIver | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meadow | 34 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +10.7 |
| D. Andrews | 30 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | +8.7 |
| RJ Keene | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +11.0 |
| J. Buchanan | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | +4.5 |
| D. Fielder | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 12 | +3.6 |
| P. Carmichael | 24 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.5 |
| D. Parolin | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.3 |
| A. Neto | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -3.6 |
| S. Ahrens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2.0 |
* = starter