Colorado State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1228 (#67) | Preseason prior 1218 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1062, returning +130, transfers -33, freshmen +60 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1141 (#63) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1138 (#63) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +4.8 (#113) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +4.6 (#113) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.800 (#77) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.676 (#87) | AdjNet +7.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.675 (#92) | AdjNet +7.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.592 (#102) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.589 (#102) | AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 73.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.672 (#87) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.672 (#87) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1183 (#59) | RD 187 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.719 (#75) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Montana State Bobcats | W | 84 - 74 |
| 2026-11-06 | vs | Idaho Vandals | W | 78 - 67 |
| 2026-11-11 | vs | Portland State Vikings | W | 87 - 71 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Loyola Chicago Ramblers | L | 58 - 73 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | North Dakota State Bison | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Pascarelli
|
G | 4 | 29.5 | 13.0 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 7.8 | 9.2 | 34 | 3 | 11.3 | 14.7 | 54.8 | 38.9 | 84.6 | -0.08 | 70.8 | 66.1 |
Carey Booth
|
F | 4 | 28.8 | 12.0 | 6.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 8.2 | 11.5 | 22 | 3 | 7.3 | 10.3 | 48.5 | 37.5 | 71.4 | 0.28 | 61.3 | 57.6 |
Jase Butler
|
G | 4 | 29.8 | 11.5 | 5.5 | 5.8 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.5 | 14.8 | 19 | 3 | 6.3 | 8.6 | 40.0 | 23.1 | 79.2 | 0.38 | 56.7 | 45.0 |
Kyle Jorgensen
|
F | 4 | 26.2 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 7.8 | 6.0 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 12.5 | 45.2 | 25.0 | 83.3 | 1.1 | 53.5 | 50.0 |
Justin Menard
|
G | 4 | 25.0 | 7.8 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 5.5 | 22 | 3 | 7.3 | 11.8 | 50.0 | 45.5 | 66.7 | 0.83 | 64.7 | 62.5 |
Rashaan Mbemba
|
F | 4 | 15.2 | 7.8 | 3.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 4.0 | 6.8 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 18.4 | 62.5 | 75.0 | 66.7 | -0.01 | 72.8 | 71.9 |
Jaden Ghoreishi
|
F | 4 | 14.8 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 8.3 | 52.4 | 25.0 | 100.0 | 0.08 | 59.4 | 57.1 |
Pops Dunson
|
G | 4 | 10.5 | 6.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 10 | 3 | 3.3 | 14.8 | 46.7 | 42.9 | 77.8 | 0.5 | 63.3 | 56.7 |
Eric Fiedler
|
F | 1 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 29.6 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -0.17 | 100.0 | 100.0 |
Amondo Miller Jr.
|
F | 4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 8 | 3 | 2.7 | 19.7 | 66.7 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.03 | 77.3 | 66.7 |
Jojo Mciver
|
G | 4 | 14.8 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 13 | 3 | 4.3 | 11.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 0.01 | 21.3 | 10.0 |
River Sawyer
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Jaxon Clark
|
C | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 73.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 | 0 | 0 |
Charlie Dortch
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Docker Tedeschi
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Colorado State players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Colorado State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Tonje | 2019-23 | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | 1 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10-29 5 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 1 GP, 5.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Nique Clifford | 2023-25 | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder (2 teams) | 11 | 8.8 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 11-13 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 11 GP, 2.0 PPG, 1.3 RPG, 0.9 APG |
| David Roddy | 2019-22 | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | 7 | 25.3 | 8.1 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 11-11 4 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast | 4 GP, 7.0 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 3.2 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Nique Clifford | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ LA Clippers | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Nique Clifford | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | David Roddy | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Baglietto Derthona Tortona | 25 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Nique Clifford | NBA | Oklahoma City Thunder | @ Portland Trail Blazers | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | John Tonje | G League Play-In | Rip City Remix | @ Salt Lake City Stars | 33 | 22 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | David Roddy | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | vs Aris Thessaloniki | 25 | 0 | 6 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | John Tonje | NBA | Portland Trail Blazers | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-28 | David Roddy | EuroCup | Hapoel Midtown Jerusalem | @ Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 25 | 13 | 5 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-16 | John Tonje | NBA Preseason | Portland Trail Blazers | @ Golden State Warriors | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
211 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Josh PascarelliCarey BoothKyle JorgensenJase ButlerJaden GhoreishiAmondo Miller Jr.
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 50-67 | 74.6 | 100 | Kyle Jorgensen 20% (20 pts) | Carey Booth 16% (16 pts) | Jase Butler 18% (3 misses) | Carey Booth 12% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 12-31 | 38.7 | 24 | Jaden Ghoreishi 17% (4 pts) | Jase Butler 17% (4 pts) | Kyle Jorgensen 26% (5 misses) | Jojo Mciver 16% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 3-9 | 33.3 | 6 | Amondo Miller Jr. 33% (2 pts) | Carey Booth 33% (2 pts) | Carey Booth 33% (2 misses) | Jase Butler 33% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Carey Booth 50% (1 misses) | Jase Butler 50% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 4-8 | 50.0 | 8 | Jaden Ghoreishi 25% (2 pts) | Kyle Jorgensen 25% (2 pts) | Amondo Miller Jr. 25% (1 misses) | Carey Booth 25% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-9 | 66.7 | 18 | Carey Booth 50% (9 pts) | Josh Pascarelli 33% (6 pts) | Carey Booth 33% (1 misses) | Jaden Ghoreishi 33% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 1-6 | 16.7 | 3 | Josh Pascarelli 100% (3 pts) | - | Jase Butler 60% (3 misses) | Carey Booth 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-24 | 25.0 | 18 | Josh Pascarelli 33% (6 pts) | Justin Menard 33% (6 pts) | Carey Booth 22% (4 misses) | Jaden Ghoreishi 11% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-23 | 39.1 | 27 | Jase Butler 22% (6 pts) | Justin Menard 22% (6 pts) | Josh Pascarelli 21% (3 misses) | Justin Menard 21% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 10-32 | 31.2 | 30 | Carey Booth 20% (6 pts) | Jaden Ghoreishi 20% (6 pts) | Josh Pascarelli 23% (5 misses) | Kyle Jorgensen 18% (4 misses) |