Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Grand Canyon Lopes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grand Canyon Lopes +17 (86-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Meadow | 29 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -18.7 |
| J. Buchanan | 29 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | -16.6 |
| D. Andrews | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -15.4 |
| RJ Keene | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -14.0 |
| S. Ahrens | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -8.7 |
| D. Fielder | 18 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -16.8 |
| P. Carmichael | 17 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
| D. Parolin | 17 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +1.5 |
| A. Neto | 14 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -3.4 |
| B. Buom | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.8 |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Owusu-Anane | 38 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 18 | +22.4 |
| J. Henley | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 19 | +19.1 |
| D. Stromer | 33 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +14.4 |
| M. Williams | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +9.0 |
| E. Demirel | 27 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | +6.6 |
| B. Moore Jr. | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +16.0 |
| W. Breidenbach | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +9.5 |
| D. Evans | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
* = starter