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Baylor

Also known as: Baylor Bears, Baylor
Program History

2012 Team Stats (28 games)

75.1
PPG
63.9
Opp
+11.2
Margin
47.1%
FG%
38.7%
3P%
75.4%
FT%
36.8
RPG
15.6
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.9
Adj PPG
60.4
Adj Opp PPG
#13
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1430 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1353 (#8) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 1156 (#15) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +15.5 (#13) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +14.1 (#19) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.803 (#35) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +24.0 More โ†’ 0.941 (#15) AdjNet +24.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +24.3 More โ†’ 0.943 (#15) AdjNet +24.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.4 More โ†’ 0.789 (#13) AdjO 74.9 | AdjD 60.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 63.8 More โ†’ 0.702 (#21) AdjO 73.2 | AdjD 63.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.859 (#11) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.848 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 90 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1363 (#7) RD 90 | GP 37

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 77 - 57
2011-11-13 vs Jackson State Tigers W 92 - 59
2011-11-15 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 77 - 67
2011-11-22 vs South Carolina State Bulldogs W 70 - 50
2011-11-23 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 75 - 65
2011-11-29 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 90 - 54
2011-12-04 @ Northwestern Wildcats W 69 - 41
2011-12-14 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 69 - 42
2011-12-17 @ BYU Cougars W 86 - 83
2011-12-19 vs Paul Quinn Tigers W 95 - 54
2011-12-22 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 72 - 59
2011-12-23 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 83 - 81
2011-12-28 vs Mississippi State Bulldogs W 54 - 52
2012-01-02 vs Texas A&M Aggies W 61 - 52
2012-01-07 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders W 73 - 60
2012-01-10 @ Kansas State Wildcats W 75 - 73
2012-01-14 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 106 - 65
2012-01-16 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 74 - 92
2012-01-21 vs Missouri Tigers L 88 - 89
2012-01-24 @ Oklahoma Sooners W 77 - 65
2012-01-28 vs Texas Longhorns W 76 - 71
2012-02-01 @ Texas A&M Aggies W 63 - 60
2012-02-04 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys W 64 - 60
2012-02-08 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 54 - 68
2012-02-11 @ Missouri Tigers L 57 - 72
2012-02-13 vs Iowa State Cyclones W 79 - 64
2012-02-18 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 56 - 57
2012-02-20 @ Texas Longhorns W 77 - 72
2012-02-25 vs Oklahoma Sooners W 70 - 60
2012-02-27 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders W 77 - 48
2012-03-03 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 72 - 80
2012-03-08 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 82 - 74
2012-03-09 @ Kansas Jayhawks W 81 - 72
2012-03-10 @ Missouri Tigers L 75 - 90
2012-03-15 vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits W 68 - 60
2012-03-17 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 80 - 63
2012-03-23 vs Xavier Musketeers W 75 - 70
2012-03-25 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 70 - 82

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Pierre Jackson Pierre Jackson C 38 30.8 13.8 2.9 5.9 1.8 0.1 3.5 8.9 11.9 142 28 5.1 7.1 46.2 41.7 83.1 5.26 66.3 55.4
Perry Jones Perry Jones F 33 30.7 13.5 7.6 1.3 0.8 0.6 1.7 10.0 12.2 100 26 3.8 5.4 51.8 29.6 71.1 1.61 59.7 53.0
Quincy Acy Quincy Acy F 38 29.7 12.0 7.4 1.0 0.9 1.8 1.9 6.7 14.6 166 28 5.9 8.6 58.9 66.7 77.6 5.81 70.7 59.3
Quincy Miller Quincy Miller F 37 24.4 10.6 4.9 1.4 0.7 0.6 1.8 7.7 8.8 72 28 2.6 4.7 43.7 35.4 82.7 -0.52 59.2 47.7
Brady Heslip Brady Heslip G 38 27.1 10.2 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.4 6.7 5.9 114 28 4.1 6.4 43.8 43.9 91.4 0.73 71.3 61.3
Anthony Jones Anthony Jones F 37 14.6 5.2 2.9 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.8 4.0 4.6 -30 27 -1.1 -3.6 49.3 37.3 59.4 -4.35 59.2 56.8
A.J. Walton A.J. Walton G 38 20.3 3.8 2.8 2.8 1.3 0.1 2.0 3.6 5.2 23 28 0.8 1.9 31.9 19.4 73.6 0.06 45.2 34.4
Cory Jefferson Cory Jefferson F 33 10.8 3.7 2.7 0.1 0.2 1.2 0.5 2.6 4.9 -31 23 -1.3 -6.8 51.8 0.0 60.5 -2.56 58.2 51.8
Deuce Bello Deuce Bello G 30 10.3 3.3 1.9 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.2 -13 20 -0.7 -3.2 48.6 18.8 56.0 -1.38 53.8 50.7
Gary Franklin Gary Franklin G 27 10.2 2.1 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.3 -6 21 -0.3 -1.3 30.2 34.0 0.0 0.06 52.0 45.3
Fred Ellis Fred Ellis F 13 8.8 1.8 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.2 1.1 1.5 2.5 14 6 2.3 16.5 21.1 33.3 100.0 1.33 47.4 28.9
Jacob Neubert Jacob Neubert F 8 1.4 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 - - - - 33.3 0 0 -1.01 33.3 33.3

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG