Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +10 (77-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 36 | 10-17 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| X. Thames * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| G. Green * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Rahon | 29 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Franklin | 21 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| D. Stephens | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Franklin | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jones * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Q. Acy * | 34 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| B. Heslip * | 27 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Q. Miller * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Walton * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Jackson | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Bello | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| F. Ellis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter