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2012-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Xavier Musketeers Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 14.3% 85.7% -
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% -
Margin 19.4% 80.6% +7.8 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% -
Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.8% 67.2% -
Log Adjusted 32.8% 67.2% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Xavier Musketeers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 40 5-15 0-4 6-9 2 2 2 0 3 16 4 -
T. Holloway * 38 6-13 1-5 9-10 4 3 2 0 2 22 16 -
K. Frease * 35 7-10 0-0 4-5 3 1 0 1 3 18 10 -
D. Wells * 24 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
A. Walker * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
J. Martin 18 2-4 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
J. Robinson 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
D. Davis 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
T. Taylor 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Redford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 36 5-12 3-7 3-4 2 10 2 0 3 16 15 -
Q. Acy * 34 8-11 0-0 4-4 15 3 1 1 1 20 28 -
B. Heslip * 32 3-7 1-3 4-4 2 1 1 0 0 11 8 -
Q. Miller * 27 3-7 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 6 3 -
P. Jones * 26 7-8 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 14 13 -
A.J. Walton 20 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 2 3 -
D. Bello 15 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -
A. Jones 9 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
C. Jefferson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter