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2012-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.9% 95.1% - โœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.5 โœ“ (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +29 (77-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ty Nurse * 32 3-8 2-5 0-1 3 3 1 0 2 8 5 -
Jordan Tolbert * 32 6-15 0-0 7-9 6 2 0 0 5 19 7 -
Javarez Willis * 30 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 5 -1 -
Terran Petteway * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Robert Lewandowski * 10 0-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -3 -
Biggie Minnis 30 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 4 4 2 -
Jaye Crockett 20 2-5 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 0 1 5 2 -
Clark Lammert 18 1-2 1-2 1-2 4 0 3 0 0 4 9 -
Luke Adams 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Jaron Nash 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Perry Jones * 27 5-8 0-0 5-5 10 3 1 1 1 15 21 -
Pierre Jackson * 27 3-6 1-2 1-3 2 4 2 0 6 8 4 -
Quincy Acy * 24 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 2 2 0 12 16 -
Anthony Jones * 17 5-6 2-3 1-3 3 1 1 0 0 13 12 -
Fred Ellis * 13 0-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -3 -
Brady Heslip 20 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 0 -
A.J. Walton 19 5-6 2-3 1-1 3 2 0 1 3 13 10 -
Gary Franklin 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 2 -
Quincy Miller 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 1 -
Deuce Bello 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Cory Jefferson 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 3 0 2 6 -
Jacob Neubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter