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2012-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -1 (56-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Rodriguez * 39 7-12 1-3 0-0 3 6 4 0 4 15 12 -
R. McGruder * 37 6-11 3-6 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 15 8 -
J. Samuels * 35 3-10 2-3 1-2 5 3 2 3 5 9 7 -
W. Spradling * 35 2-10 1-7 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 5 3 -
J. Henriquez * 25 4-7 0-0 1-3 7 2 0 3 1 9 13 -
T. Gipson 15 2-4 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
V. Ojeleye 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
M. Irving 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Southwell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Griner 0 5-14 0-0 8-10 14 5 1 6 0 18 30 -
D. Williams 0 8-17 0-0 0-1 10 0 0 1 2 16 8 -
J. Madden 0 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 0 3 1 0 0 2 -
K. Hayden 0 2-8 0-4 3-5 1 4 2 0 2 7 4 -
Q. Acy * 33 5-11 0-0 4-4 3 1 2 1 4 14 6 -
P. Jackson * 33 3-9 1-4 2-3 6 7 1 0 5 9 9 -
B. Heslip * 30 4-8 3-6 2-2 2 0 2 0 0 13 9 -
Q. Miller * 29 4-10 0-1 4-5 11 2 1 0 4 12 12 -
P. Jones * 22 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
A. Jones 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 2 1 -
A.J. Walton 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Jefferson 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
G. Franklin 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bello 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter