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2012-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% +2.8 โœ“ (12.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 โœ“ (8.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.3% 65.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 34.4% 65.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“

Actual: Missouri Tigers +15 (90-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierre Jackson * 34 3-10 1-6 3-4 3 6 3 0 2 10 10 -
Quincy Acy * 31 1-4 0-0 5-6 10 2 0 0 3 7 12 -
Perry Jones * 29 6-12 0-1 4-5 11 1 0 1 0 16 17 -
Quincy Miller * 25 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 -1 -
Brady Heslip * 25 5-11 4-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 14 3 -
A.J. Walton 26 3-11 0-2 2-2 4 2 2 0 2 8 3 -
Deuce Bello 22 4-6 0-1 5-8 6 1 0 1 1 13 14 -
Gary Franklin 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Anthony Jones 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Phil Pressey * 37 4-8 1-3 6-8 5 8 2 0 1 15 21 -
Kim English * 36 6-10 5-8 2-2 6 1 2 0 1 19 17 -
Marcus Denmon * 33 4-10 1-4 6-6 3 1 2 0 1 15 10 -
Ricardo Ratliffe * 28 7-11 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 1 15 9 -
Matt Pressey * 22 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Michael Dixon Jr. 28 3-8 1-5 10-11 1 4 1 0 4 17 11 -
Steve Moore 16 2-2 0-0 0-3 5 0 0 2 0 4 9 -

* = starter