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2012-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.7% 79.3% -
Margin 17.8% 82.2% +8.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 13.1% 86.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.1% 77.9% -
Log Adjusted 24.9% 75.1% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +8 (82-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McGruder * 37 5-13 0-1 4-5 4 3 1 0 1 14 8 -
J. Henriquez * 36 9-13 0-0 4-7 14 1 0 4 2 22 26 -
W. Spradling * 33 2-9 0-3 0-0 0 5 1 0 3 4 -2 -
J. Samuels * 29 3-4 1-1 3-3 0 3 3 1 1 10 12 -
A. Rodriguez * 24 3-7 2-4 4-4 1 2 3 0 4 12 7 -
M. Irving 15 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 7 -
T. Gipson 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Southwell 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
V. Ojeleye 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Jones 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Rohleder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Acy * 34 4-7 0-0 2-3 7 3 2 2 3 10 14 -
P. Jackson * 34 6-16 1-5 0-0 3 8 0 0 2 13 6 -
B. Heslip * 31 6-11 2-7 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 15 6 -
P. Jones * 31 11-14 2-2 7-9 11 1 0 2 4 31 27 -
Q. Miller * 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
A.J. Walton 32 5-6 0-1 1-3 4 3 4 0 3 11 13 -
D. Bello 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. Jones 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Franklin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Jefferson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter