🐻⬇️🏀

Baylor Bears 70
@
Kentucky Wildcats 82
2012-03-25

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 37.8% 62.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 46.0% 54.0% - ✓
Margin 26.4% 73.6% +5.7 ✓ (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% - ✓
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 11.3% 88.7% - ✓

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jackson * 38 9-19 1-7 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 21 7 -
P. Jones * 34 6-14 1-2 4-5 8 2 0 0 4 17 9 -
Q. Acy * 34 7-11 0-0 8-8 8 1 1 2 3 22 20 -
B. Heslip * 26 1-2 1-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Q. Miller * 19 1-6 1-2 0-0 6 1 0 2 1 3 5 -
A.J. Walton 19 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Bello 13 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 0 1 3 2 -
G. Franklin 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Jones 7 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
F. Ellis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jones * 35 3-7 0-1 6-12 9 6 2 3 2 12 23 -
D. Lamb * 32 3-7 1-3 7-12 1 1 2 0 2 14 9 -
A. Davis * 32 6-9 0-0 6-8 11 1 2 6 0 18 29 -
M. Teague * 30 2-4 1-1 3-4 3 3 1 0 4 8 7 -
M. Kidd-Gilchrist * 27 7-10 1-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 3 19 12 -
D. Miller 35 2-6 0-2 4-4 0 3 2 0 1 8 6 -
K. Wiltjer 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
E. Vargas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter