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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.6% 92.4% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Moultrie * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 4 8 15 -
D. Bost * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 9 16 -
R. Hood * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 1 7 18 -
J. Steele * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 10 14 -
R. Sidney * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 10 14 -
B. Bryant 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 8 10 -
W. Lewis 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 0 6 -
D. Smith 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
R. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jones * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 8 14 -
Q. Acy * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 2 7 17 -
B. Heslip * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
Q. Miller * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 12 18 -
A.J. Walton * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 1 0 11 -
P. Jackson 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 14 17 -
A. Jones 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 1 1 10 -
G. Franklin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Jefferson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 1 2 -

* = starter