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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.8% 30.2% -
Margin 54.7% 45.3% -1.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 89.1% 10.9% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Log Adjusted 96.6% 3.4% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Acy * 36 2-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 2 0 6 9 -
B. Heslip * 32 5-7 4-6 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 16 10 -
Q. Miller * 29 3-7 0-2 9-11 9 0 0 0 5 15 12 -
P. Jones * 29 4-8 0-0 1-6 6 1 1 3 3 9 9 -
A.J. Walton * 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
P. Jackson 36 6-12 1-2 6-7 6 7 3 0 2 19 21 -
G. Franklin 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Jones 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Jefferson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Lewandowski * 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 8 -1 -
B. Minnis * 31 2-7 0-0 3-6 1 5 2 0 2 7 6 -
J. Crockett * 23 5-10 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 1 2 11 5 -
J. Tolbert * 17 1-2 0-0 7-10 4 0 0 1 1 9 11 -
T. Petteway * 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Willis 37 4-10 3-8 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 13 8 -
T. Nurse 35 2-4 2-4 4-4 2 3 0 0 1 10 10 -
J. Nash 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
K. Wagner 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter