Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.7% | 30.3% | -4.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -28 (41-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perry Jones * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Quincy Acy * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brady Heslip * | 26 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Quincy Miller * | 24 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| A.J. Walton * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Pierre Jackson | 24 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Jones | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cory Jefferson | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Deuce Bello | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Fred Ellis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Neubert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Shurna * | 38 | 4-19 | 0-7 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | -2 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 38 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Dave Sobolewski * | 37 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nick Fruendt | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter