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2012-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 58.1% 41.9% - โœ“
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.5 โœ— (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brady Heslip * 33 4-10 3-8 2-2 2 2 4 0 1 13 10 -
Perry Jones * 32 8-12 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 5 17 9 -
Quincy Acy * 24 6-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 3 13 10 -
A.J. Walton * 24 1-4 0-0 6-6 2 6 3 0 3 8 12 -
Quincy Miller * 20 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
Pierre Jackson 33 4-11 2-4 0-0 5 11 2 0 3 10 14 -
Gary Franklin 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Cory Jefferson 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
Anthony Jones 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Deuce Bello 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney McGruder * 36 10-14 2-3 8-8 6 3 1 0 1 30 25 -
Will Spradling * 35 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 5 2 -
Jamar Samuels * 31 2-8 0-3 3-5 4 3 2 0 2 7 6 -
Jordan Henriquez * 27 5-9 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 1 12 9 -
Martavious Irving * 24 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
Thomas Gipson 22 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
Angel Rodriguez 12 2-3 2-3 1-3 0 1 1 0 4 7 2 -
Shane Southwell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -
Jeremy Jones 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter