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2012-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 83.0% 17.0% -
Bradley-Terry 68.3% 31.7% -
Margin 60.0% 40.0% -2.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Log Adjusted 69.1% 30.9% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Heslip * 33 4-10 3-8 2-2 2 2 4 0 1 13 10 -
P. Jones * 32 8-12 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 0 5 17 9 -
Q. Acy * 24 6-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 1 3 13 10 -
A.J. Walton * 24 1-4 0-0 6-6 2 6 3 0 3 8 12 -
Q. Miller * 20 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
P. Jackson 33 4-11 2-4 0-0 5 11 2 0 3 10 14 -
G. Franklin 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Jefferson 10 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
A. Jones 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Bello 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McGruder * 36 10-14 2-3 8-8 6 3 1 0 1 30 25 -
W. Spradling * 35 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 4 1 0 4 5 2 -
J. Samuels * 31 2-8 0-3 3-5 4 3 2 0 2 7 6 -
J. Henriquez * 27 5-9 0-0 2-3 4 2 0 1 1 12 9 -
M. Irving * 24 3-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
T. Gipson 22 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
A. Rodriguez 12 2-3 2-3 1-3 0 1 1 0 4 7 2 -
S. Southwell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -1 -
J. Jones 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter