Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -2.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Heslip * | 33 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| P. Jones * | 32 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Q. Acy * | 24 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Walton * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Q. Miller * | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| P. Jackson | 33 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| G. Franklin | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Bello | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McGruder * | 36 | 10-14 | 2-3 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 25 | - |
| W. Spradling * | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Samuels * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Henriquez * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Irving * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Gipson | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Rodriguez | 12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Southwell | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter