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2012-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 23.9% 76.1% -
Bradley-Terry 19.5% 80.5% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Log Adjusted 10.0% 90.0% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +17 (80-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roberson * 36 4-5 1-1 4-5 8 2 4 1 2 13 21 -
C. Brown * 30 6-14 0-5 1-2 5 3 0 1 5 13 3 -
A. Dufault * 29 6-12 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 14 5 -
S. Dinwiddie * 28 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
N. Tomlinson * 25 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -2 -
A. Booker 28 4-12 3-3 4-7 5 1 0 0 2 15 7 -
S. Harris-Tunks 14 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 4 1 1 1 3 6 -
J. Adams 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
S. Chen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Heslip * 39 9-13 9-12 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 27 15 -
P. Jackson * 31 6-17 1-6 2-2 3 10 5 0 4 15 12 -
Q. Acy * 29 2-5 0-0 3-4 10 2 0 1 1 7 14 -
P. Jones * 27 3-8 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
Q. Miller * 23 3-9 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 2 2 8 6 -
A.J. Walton 27 1-7 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 4 2 -
A. Jones 13 2-2 1-1 3-7 3 0 1 0 0 8 10 -
D. Bello 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 4 5 -

* = starter