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2012-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% -
Margin 49.6% 50.4% +0.1 (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.8% 23.2% -
Log Adjusted 76.6% 23.4% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Acy * 39 7-10 0-0 8-11 16 0 0 2 1 22 29 -
P. Jackson * 33 5-14 3-6 12-12 3 6 1 0 4 25 17 -
P. Jones * 30 3-14 0-0 4-6 3 3 0 0 2 10 0 -
Q. Miller * 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Heslip * 21 4-5 4-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 12 7 -
A.J. Walton 28 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 5 1 0 1 2 9 -
G. Franklin 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
A. Jones 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Bello 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Jefferson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brown * 40 6-14 6-9 0-1 3 4 0 0 3 18 8 -
M. Kabongo * 27 2-6 0-2 8-8 2 5 1 0 2 12 12 -
J. Lewis * 26 3-7 1-2 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 9 6 -
A. Wangmene * 22 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 0 2 1 0 7 12 -
C. Chapman * 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 6 3 -
J. Holmes 26 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
S. Mac 24 5-9 0-1 3-6 5 0 1 0 0 13 10 -
J. Bond 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Gibbs 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter