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2011-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 70.8% 29.2% -
Margin 52.6% 47.4% -0.6 (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 91.5% 8.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 85.6% 14.4% -
Log Adjusted 85.6% 14.4% -

Actual: BYU Cougars -3 (83-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jones * 33 11-16 2-2 4-7 8 4 3 0 1 28 26 -
B. Heslip * 33 6-10 6-10 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 18 10 -
Q. Acy * 27 3-7 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 0 1 8 5 -
Q. Miller * 22 4-9 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 8 4 -
A.J. Walton * 17 2-4 1-3 0-1 4 0 2 0 1 5 6 -
P. Jackson 30 4-8 2-4 3-3 3 7 1 1 5 13 12 -
G. Franklin 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 6 -
A. Jones 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
C. Jefferson 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Bello 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Zylstra * 38 1-4 1-2 1-2 7 3 1 0 3 4 8 -
N. Hartsock * 37 7-14 0-1 1-1 5 1 2 1 1 15 9 -
B. Davies * 36 6-15 0-1 6-9 13 1 1 1 1 18 18 -
C. Abouo * 22 7-10 1-4 2-2 9 2 0 1 5 17 14 -
C. Cusick * 18 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Carlino 24 7-14 4-8 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 18 5 -
D. Harrison 15 3-7 1-3 1-4 3 1 1 1 1 8 6 -
N. Austin 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Winder 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter