Arkansas
2007 Team Stats (7 games)
70.6
PPG
63.7
Opp
+6.9
Margin
45.0%
FG%
28.1%
3P%
73.5%
FT%
37.7
RPG
14.7
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
71.6
Adj PPG
59.6
Adj Opp PPG
#37
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2006-2007
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1204 (#58) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1182 (#56) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1073 (#67) | HCA +118 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +12.9 (#37) | HCA +3.6 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +14.4 (#25) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.699 (#74) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.913 (#39) | AdjNet +20.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.916 (#38) | AdjNet +20.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.748 (#37) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 59.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.690 (#33) | AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 60.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.790 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.781 (#44) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1171 (#63) | RD 104 | GP 35 |
2007 Schedule & Results
2007 Roster
No roster data available for this season.