Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✓ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +24 (84-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beverley | 31 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| C. Thomas | 26 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| G. Ervin | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Hill | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| S. Weems | 18 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| S. Welsh | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| M. Washington | 15 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Townes | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. McGowan | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Cranford | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Hunter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon | 32 | 5-14 | 3-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| R. Delk | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 28 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| B. Stewart | 26 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| R. Delk | 23 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| D. Slater | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Iupe | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Begley | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter