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2007-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 36 4-11 2-9 10-11 10 4 2 0 2 20 23 -
G. Ervin 36 6-10 2-3 7-8 5 4 1 0 2 21 19 -
S. Weems 28 3-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 7 6 -
S. Hill 22 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 3 2 1 4 8 -
C. Thomas 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Washington 19 6-10 2-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 3 15 9 -
D. Townes 17 3-7 0-0 3-6 5 0 0 2 2 9 7 -
S. Welsh 16 0-2 0-1 4-5 1 2 1 0 1 4 5 -
S. McCurdy 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
V. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Byars 32 6-19 3-12 4-5 8 2 1 0 3 19 8 -
D. Cage 29 2-3 2-3 9-9 3 2 0 0 1 15 16 -
S. Foster 25 3-10 2-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 8 2 -
R. Neltner 24 1-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
A. Gordon 23 2-9 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 7 -1 -
T. Skuchas 18 1-3 0-0 2-5 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. Beal 17 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Brown 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
G. Drake 11 2-5 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
A. Metcalfe 8 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 6 -
A. Hammond 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter