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2007-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 49.9% 50.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 54.2% 45.8% -0.9 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.1% 50.9% -
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.0% 38.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.1% 37.9% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lofton 32 10-19 4-12 7-8 1 1 1 0 0 31 15 -
J. Smith 31 6-13 2-7 2-4 4 0 2 0 2 16 7 -
R. Smith 26 3-6 0-0 3-6 3 5 2 0 1 9 12 -
D. Bradshaw 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 0 3 5 -
W. Chism 23 6-13 1-4 1-2 6 2 1 2 1 14 11 -
J. Howell 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
R. Childress 17 1-5 1-3 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 3 5 -
D. Crews 17 1-5 0-0 0-3 6 1 1 0 3 2 2 -
J. Tabb 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 0 2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Weems 36 9-15 0-1 0-0 7 1 2 1 2 18 12 -
P. Beverley 35 3-9 1-5 2-2 1 3 1 0 0 9 5 -
G. Ervin 29 3-7 0-2 3-6 2 3 2 0 3 9 6 -
D. Townes 24 5-11 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 2 8 12 5 -
C. Thomas 22 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 1 9 12 -
S. Hill 21 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 2 2 6 5 -
M. Washington 15 0-0 0-0 6-6 2 1 0 0 3 6 6 -
S. McCurdy 15 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 3 4 -
S. Welsh 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
V. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter