Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Florida Gators | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Gators +21 (77-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ervin * | 33 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| P. Beverley * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Weems * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| S. Hill * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Townes | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Washington | 19 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Welsh | 18 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Hunter | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McGowan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Cranford | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Green * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L. Humphrey * | 31 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| J. Noah * | 31 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 23 | - |
| C. Brewer * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| W. Hodge * | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. Horford | 28 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| C. Richard | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Speights | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Werner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Swanson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter