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2007-01-20

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% -
Bradley-Terry 37.0% 63.0% -
Margin 28.7% 71.3% +5.0 (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +20 (72-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 36 3-11 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 6 -5 -
G. Davis 35 6-16 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 2 3 16 10 -
G. Temple 35 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 3 3 1 3 9 8 -
T. Martin 32 3-13 3-9 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 10 -3 -
D. Lazare 26 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Rolle 16 2-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
B. Balla 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 3 4 -
D. Mason 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 39 3-9 3-7 0-0 5 4 0 0 5 9 4 -
S. Weems 38 4-9 4-7 1-2 5 3 1 0 0 13 13 -
G. Ervin 35 3-5 0-1 5-6 4 7 3 0 3 11 17 -
S. Hill 34 8-10 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 3 3 16 18 -
C. Thomas 24 3-9 1-4 4-6 10 2 0 1 4 11 11 -
D. Townes 19 5-9 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 10 7 -
S. Welsh 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Hunter 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 3 0 0 2 5 -
M. Washington 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. McGowan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. McCurdy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Cranford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter