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2007-03-16

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 35.7% 64.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.9% 51.1% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 85.2% 14.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Log Adjusted 39.8% 60.2% -

Actual: USC Trojans +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Weems * 34 5-10 1-3 2-2 4 2 1 1 1 13 10 -
G. Ervin * 33 3-12 1-5 0-2 7 1 0 0 2 7 1 -
P. Beverley * 32 4-13 0-5 7-8 3 0 1 1 0 15 7 -
S. Hill * 23 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 1 2 0 2 6 8 -
M. Washington * 19 1-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
S. Welsh 22 0-5 0-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 0 -4 -
C. Thomas 16 3-4 1-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
D. Townes 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 6 2 -
S. McCurdy 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. McGowan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Young * 33 5-13 1-4 9-9 7 1 1 1 3 20 14 -
G. Pruitt * 33 4-8 1-4 2-2 5 4 2 0 3 11 11 -
T. Gibson * 31 7-10 0-0 4-4 8 0 2 3 2 18 19 -
A. Betz-White * 30 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 8 0 -
R. Cromwell * 18 1-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
D. Hackett 31 2-6 0-1 4-5 6 5 2 0 0 8 15 -
K. Wilkinson 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Lewis 4 3-3 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
A. N'Diaye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
R. Wetherell 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
T. Green 2 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
K. Austin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Penrose 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter