Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -9 (72-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ervin * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| P. Beverley * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Weems * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| S. Hill * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| S. Welsh | 22 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Townes | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Washington | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rhodes * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 18 | - |
| J. Gordon * | 31 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 5-10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| D. Slater * | 27 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| R. Delk * | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Delk * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 28 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | - |
| B. Stewart | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Rimmer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter