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2007-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.7 โœ“ (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Gators +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley 40 3-10 1-4 3-5 3 3 2 0 1 10 7 -
G. Ervin 39 4-13 0-3 3-4 5 9 1 0 1 11 12 -
S. Weems 33 5-10 0-4 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 13 5 -
D. Townes 27 8-13 0-0 2-4 10 1 1 0 2 18 15 -
C. Thomas 21 1-6 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
V. Hunter 20 2-6 0-3 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 6 5 -
S. Hill 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 3 1 5 8 -
M. Washington 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. McCurdy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
S. Welsh 0 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Green 37 5-9 2-4 5-8 3 3 0 0 0 17 14 -
C. Brewer 36 4-10 0-2 5-6 4 2 2 2 1 13 12 -
L. Humphrey 32 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 11 7 -
J. Noah 23 4-7 0-0 3-6 8 4 2 0 3 11 15 -
A. Horford 23 4-7 0-0 2-6 5 2 1 2 3 10 10 -
W. Hodge 13 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
C. Richard 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 4 9 -
D. Werner 11 2-5 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
M. Speights 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
J. Mitchell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter