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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 55.2% 44.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.6% 45.4% -
Log Adjusted 54.7% 45.3% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley * 38 5-13 1-6 6-6 2 3 2 0 1 17 10 -
S. Weems * 36 4-12 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 9 0 -
G. Ervin * 33 6-8 2-2 2-3 5 3 1 0 3 16 14 -
D. Townes * 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
C. Thomas * 19 4-8 0-2 3-3 6 0 0 0 2 11 7 -
S. Hill 24 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 4 0 2 3 -
M. Washington 14 3-4 0-1 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
S. McCurdy 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
S. Welsh 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
V. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell * 38 7-11 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 3 0 16 12 -
T. Martin * 37 4-8 3-7 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 13 6 -
G. Davis * 36 6-17 0-1 7-8 18 2 0 0 3 19 19 -
G. Temple * 28 2-4 1-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 5 11 -
D. Lazare * 25 3-7 0-0 1-4 5 2 0 1 1 7 7 -
C. Johnson 17 4-8 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 1 2 9 5 -
B. Voogd 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
A. Farrer 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter