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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.8% 41.2% -
Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% -
Log Adjusted 65.2% 34.8% -

Actual: Auburn Tigers +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Beverley * 39 6-16 2-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 2 -
S. Weems * 34 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 4 8 -
G. Ervin * 27 3-8 1-4 2-5 0 2 3 0 0 9 6 -
S. Hill * 25 0-0 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 3 2 4 9 -
C. Thomas * 19 4-9 0-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 4 9 2 -
D. Townes 21 5-7 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 1 2 13 11 -
S. McCurdy 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 0 5 -
V. Hunter 12 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
M. Washington 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Welsh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Cranford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Robertson * 37 3-8 1-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 7 7 -
F. Tolbert * 36 5-9 2-4 6-8 10 1 1 0 0 18 21 -
K. Barber * 35 4-10 0-0 4-7 14 3 0 1 2 12 18 -
D. Reed * 26 1-7 1-4 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
J. Dollard * 25 6-10 0-1 6-6 0 2 2 1 1 18 12 -
Q. Prowell 18 0-3 0-3 3-4 3 1 1 0 2 3 3 -
R. Barrett 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 0 -2 -
A. Miaway 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
K. Lewis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
L. Hargrove 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter