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2007-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Auburn Tigers Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% -2.6 โœ— (10.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 57.4% 42.6% - โœ—
Margin 65.9% 34.1% -3.6 โœ— (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 78.1% 21.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% - โœ—

Actual: Auburn Tigers +8 (67-59). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Beverley * 39 6-16 2-7 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 2 -
Sonny Weems * 34 2-6 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 0 1 4 8 -
Gary Ervin * 27 3-8 1-4 2-5 0 2 3 0 0 9 6 -
Steven Hill * 25 0-0 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 3 2 4 9 -
Charles Thomas * 19 4-9 0-2 1-1 5 1 0 0 4 9 2 -
Darian Townes 21 5-7 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 1 2 13 11 -
Sean McCurdy 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 0 5 -
Vincent Hunter 12 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
Michael Washington 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Stefan Welsh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Cranford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Quantez Robertson * 37 3-8 1-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 7 7 -
Frank Tolbert * 36 5-9 2-4 6-8 10 1 1 0 0 18 21 -
Korvotney Barber * 35 4-10 0-0 4-7 14 3 0 1 2 12 18 -
DeWayne Reed * 26 1-7 1-4 3-4 3 2 1 0 3 6 2 -
Josh Dollard * 25 6-10 0-1 6-6 0 2 2 1 1 18 12 -
Quan Prowell 18 0-3 0-3 3-4 3 1 1 0 2 3 3 -
Rasheem Barrett 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 0 -2 -
Archie Miaway 3 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Kelvin Lewis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Lucas Hargrove 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -

* = starter