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Arkansas Razorbacks 63
@
Alabama Crimson Tide 57
2007-01-27

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 46.7% 53.3% - ✗
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 ✗ (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% - ✓
Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 65.8% 34.2% - ✓

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -6 (57-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Ervin 40 3-7 1-1 1-2 6 6 1 0 4 8 10 -
P. Beverley 39 5-10 2-2 7-8 5 2 1 1 2 19 16 -
S. Weems 38 7-14 0-1 2-2 9 1 0 0 5 16 7 -
S. Hill 36 3-7 0-0 2-3 16 0 2 4 2 8 21 -
C. Thomas 27 2-8 0-1 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
V. Hunter 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 2 4 5 -1 -
D. Townes 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Washington 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Welsh 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
P. Cranford 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Steele 33 0-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 3 0 2 1 4 -
R. Hendrix 31 12-18 0-0 4-5 11 1 0 2 1 28 23 -
A. Gee 30 1-8 0-3 1-2 2 2 1 2 1 3 1 -
J. Davidson 30 3-9 0-1 6-8 5 1 2 1 3 12 9 -
J. Tubbs 22 2-9 0-4 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 4 2 -
M. Riley 21 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -3 -
D. Jemison 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 6 4 -
B. Hollinger 14 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -

* = starter