Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +27 (88-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -1 | - |
| A. Gee | 34 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 6-9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Riley | 29 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Davidson | 21 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Jemison | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Torrance | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Beverley | 36 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| G. Ervin | 35 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 30 | - |
| S. Weems | 32 | 8-12 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| D. Townes | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Hill | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| V. Hunter | 14 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Cranford | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Washington | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Welsh | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. McGowan | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter