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Arkansas Razorbacks 61
@
Southern Illinois Salukis 53
2006-11-23

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 88.4% 11.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 75.9% 24.1% - ✓
Margin 80.9% 19.1% -7.9 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% - ✗
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 36.6% 63.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 36.7% 63.3% - ✗

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Weems 39 1-9 0-3 5-6 1 1 3 0 3 7 0 -
G. Ervin 39 4-7 0-1 4-4 9 5 1 0 7 12 13 -
P. Beverley 34 4-6 1-2 3-4 5 1 4 0 2 12 14 -
C. Thomas 32 6-10 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 3 16 6 -
S. Hill 26 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 5 2 2 8 -
D. Townes 19 5-6 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 0 12 10 -
V. Hunter 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -1 -
S. Welsh 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
S. McCurdy 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 0 2 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Tatum 41 6-16 2-6 3-4 7 1 2 0 2 17 9 -
B. Mullins 39 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 9 4 0 9 3 4 -
T. Young 33 1-8 1-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 7 3 -7 -
M. Shaw 32 3-8 1-5 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
T. Boyle 31 2-7 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 2 6 2 -
W. Clemmons 20 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 6 -
R. Falker 18 4-7 0-0 6-8 5 0 0 0 3 14 9 -
T. Green 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Foster 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter