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2007-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 42.0% 58.0% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -1 (71-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Weems * 38 7-13 3-6 0-0 9 1 1 0 2 17 13 -
P. Beverley * 37 5-14 3-8 5-8 3 3 1 0 0 18 11 -
G. Ervin * 32 2-6 0-0 2-4 6 3 0 1 2 6 8 -
C. Thomas * 26 3-4 1-1 4-5 9 2 0 0 5 11 13 -
S. Hill * 24 2-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 2 2 2 5 6 -
D. Townes 17 2-5 0-0 3-7 6 0 0 2 0 7 10 -
S. Welsh 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
M. Washington 10 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
S. McCurdy 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
V. Hunter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Byars * 38 6-15 2-8 1-2 1 5 2 0 3 15 5 -
S. Foster * 37 3-9 2-6 5-6 6 2 3 0 1 13 14 -
D. Cage * 28 5-8 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 12 8 -
A. Gordon * 21 3-7 1-2 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 9 5 -
R. Neltner * 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
T. Skuchas 24 2-3 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 4 1 7 12 -
J. Beal 19 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 5 6 -
J. Brown 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Metcalfe 6 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Drake 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter