Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 35 | 6-18 | 0-2 | 11-16 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 19 | - |
| R. Delk * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| D. Slater * | 32 | 0-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Rhodes * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 22 | - |
| R. Delk * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| B. Stewart | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| J. Varnado | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Ervin * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 6-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | - |
| P. Beverley * | 32 | 2-11 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Weems * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| C. Thomas * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Hill * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Welsh | 19 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| M. Washington | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| D. Townes | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. McCurdy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| V. Hunter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter