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Air Force

Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

58.2
PPG
60.9
Opp
+1.4
Margin
40.7%
FG%
28.3%
3P%
72.6%
FT%
29.8
RPG
13.2
APG
14.8
TO
71.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 966 (#584) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1119 (#309) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +19.5 (#236) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.192 (#99) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.7 More → 0.413 (#82) NetEff -2.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.0 More → 0.261 (#91) AdjNet -9.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.0 More → 0.261 (#91) AdjNet -9.0

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs Army Black Knights W 87 - 71
2011-11-12 vs VMI Keydets W 75 - 65
2011-11-18 vs Western State Colorado University Mountaineers W 65 - 37
2011-11-23 vs Colorado Buffaloes L 73 - 76
2011-12-03 @ Drake Bulldogs L 60 - 62
2011-12-07 vs Wright State Raiders W 55 - 34
2011-12-10 vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions W 63 - 51
2011-12-17 vs Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks W 64 - 60
2011-12-22 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 60 - 70
2011-12-29 vs Wagner Seahawks L 61 - 72
2011-12-30 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles W 42 - 37
2012-01-03 vs Johnson & Wales (CO) Wildcats W 83 - 53
2012-01-06 vs Chicago State Cougars W 68 - 54
2012-01-09 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros W 67 - 50
2012-01-14 @ Boise State Broncos W 74 - 59
2012-01-18 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 53 - 64
2012-01-21 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 44 - 57
2012-01-25 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 56 - 59
2012-01-28 vs UNLV Rebels L 63 - 65
2012-02-04 @ Colorado State Rams L 49 - 67
2012-02-15 @ Wyoming Cowboys W 58 - 53
2012-02-18 vs San Diego State Aztecs W 58 - 56
2012-02-22 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 62 - 65
2012-02-25 @ UNLV Rebels L 58 - 68
2012-02-29 @ New Mexico Lobos L 56 - 86
2012-03-03 vs Colorado State Rams L 65 - 75
2012-03-08 @ New Mexico Lobos L 64 - 79

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Lyons M. Lyons G 21 33.1 15.7 4.1 1.5 1.1 0.2 2.5 8.5 11.6 - - - 46.6 34.7 69.6 - 81.2 53.7
M. Fitzgerald M. Fitzgerald F 27 29.5 10.7 3.8 0.7 0.7 0.4 1.6 4.6 10.1 - - - 52.8 39.4 81.1 - 102.3 64.0
T. Broekhuis T. Broekhuis C 27 30.0 9.3 4.8 2.0 0.7 1.0 1.8 4.3 11.8 - - - 51.3 32.4 66.2 - 87.7 56.1
T. Fletcher T. Fletcher G 27 31.1 8.4 2.7 3.1 1.6 0.1 2.0 4.3 9.7 - - - 39.1 31.0 94.6 - 86.5 47.0
T. Stewart T. Stewart G-F 15 27.1 8.1 2.9 3.1 0.8 0.3 1.5 5.3 8.5 - - - 43.0 25.0 75.6 - 62.9 44.9
J. Hammonds J. Hammonds F 22 14.0 4.5 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.7 5.4 - - - 57.9 54.5 39.1 - 103.9 65.8
K. Green K. Green G 13 13.2 4.1 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 1.7 5.1 - - - 36.4 41.2 0.0 1.25 118.1 52.3
K. Williams K. Williams F 27 14.7 4.1 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 2.6 6.0 12 2.4 2.8 47.9 46.4 63.6 0.68 69.4 57.0
M. Yon M. Yon G 20 10.0 2.2 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.0 - - - 29.4 20.8 84.6 - 55.4 36.8
D. Earls D. Earls F 18 7.1 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.4 - - - 52.9 50.0 25.0 - 80.4 58.8
M. Olesinski M. Olesinski F 9 6.3 1.7 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.6 - - - 15.4 16.7 0.0 - 54.0 23.1
C. Carter C. Carter G 22 9.9 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.8 1.1 2.4 - - - 32.0 0.0 61.3 0.17 45.3 32.0
C. Kammerer C. Kammerer F 15 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 - - - 50.0 33.3 62.5 - 65.6 53.6
C. Barnhill C. Barnhill F 15 5.3 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.3 - - - 18.2 20.0 57.1 - 60.4 22.7
S. Hempsey S. Hempsey G 23 9.0 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.5 0.8 1.8 - - - 36.8 22.2 0.0 - 44.3 42.1
A. Brakeville A. Brakeville F 16 4.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 - - - 62.5 0 100.0 - 69.7 62.5
S. Stucky S. Stucky - 2 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 -0.5 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
B. Davidson B. Davidson - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG