Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.5% | 88.5% | +11.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +10 (75-65). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney Glasgow * | 36 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ron Burks * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Keith Gabriel * | 22 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Stan Okoye * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Nick Gore * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Sparks | 20 | 5-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Weethee | 17 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jarid Watson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Brown | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Quinton Upshur | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D.J. Covington | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Whiting | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Stewart * | 34 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Michael Lyons * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 30 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 13 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Chris Carter | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter