Model Predictions
| Model | Wright State Raiders | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.3 | ✓ (18.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +21 (55-34). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Wright State Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vance Hall * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Cole Darling * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Julius Mays * | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Matt Vest * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| AJ Pacher * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Balwigaire | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Arceneaux | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Tavares Sledge | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Armond Battle | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Jason Cuffee | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Johann Mpondo | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kendall Griffin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ulysses Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Gossard | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lyons * | 25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Mike Fitzgerald * | 24 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Taylor Stewart * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Broekhuis * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Todd Fletcher * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kamryn Williams | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeLovell Earls | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Carter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Adam Brakeville | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Max Yon | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kyle Green | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chase Kammerer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Justin Hammonds | 5 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Marek Olesinski | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Colt Barnhill | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Scott Stucky | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter