Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✗ (28.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -15 (59-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Fletcher * | 40 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 37 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 22 | - |
| T. Stewart * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| K. Williams * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Carter | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Earls | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Elorriaga * | 38 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Drmic * | 33 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| W. Perryman * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Buckner * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| J. Crayton * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Wiley | 17 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| R. Watkins | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Marks | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Nichols | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Hanstad | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter