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2011-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% -
Margin 6.4% 93.6% +14.7 (2.7 off)
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons +12 (63-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Townsend * 39 3-12 0-2 10-11 5 4 5 1 3 16 16 -
L. Jackson * 34 5-10 3-7 0-1 0 2 3 1 1 13 8 -
M. Anderson * 20 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -3 -
D. Broughton * 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -
L. Weathers * 14 2-3 0-0 1-3 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
D. Nelson 18 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Jones 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Harris 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Bailey 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
D. Smith 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
A. Allen 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Floyd 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lyons * 37 10-18 2-8 1-3 4 2 3 0 7 23 7 -
T. Broekhuis * 35 2-2 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 1 1 7 16 -
M. Fitzgerald * 28 6-8 6-8 1-2 5 1 1 1 2 19 17 -
T. Fletcher * 25 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 4 4 4 -
T. Stewart * 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -1 -
K. Williams 19 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 1 0 3 7 -
C. Carter 16 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Earls 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Hammonds 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Brakeville 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Hempsey 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Kammerer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter