Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.0% | 96.0% | +17.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (57-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 38 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 31 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Williams * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| J. Hammonds | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| C. Carter | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Brakeville | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 38 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Shelton * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| X. Thames * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Rahon * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| L. Franklin | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Green | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter