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2012-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Wyoming Cowboys Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 83.3% 16.7% -
Bradley-Terry 73.2% 26.8% -
Margin 66.7% 33.3% -3.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 68.6% 31.4% -
Efficiency 19.0% 81.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.6% 32.4% -
Log Adjusted 67.5% 32.5% -

Actual: Air Force Falcons -11 (53-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Luster * 39 1-3 1-2 1-3 1 4 0 0 2 4 4 -
L. Martinez * 33 5-10 3-7 2-2 1 3 3 0 1 15 11 -
L. Washington * 30 5-7 0-0 3-5 8 0 3 1 3 13 15 -
P. Cruz * 30 5-11 1-4 4-4 4 2 2 0 0 15 12 -
A. Waddell * 27 3-4 0-0 5-8 3 4 0 0 1 11 13 -
L. Nance Jr. 17 0-2 0-0 3-4 2 1 2 0 0 3 6 -
A. Bouedo 15 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
R. Watsabaugh 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Muojeke 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Grabau 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Fletcher * 40 3-9 0-4 0-0 3 4 3 1 3 6 5 -
T. Broekhuis * 36 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 1 1 8 12 -
M. Fitzgerald * 25 4-5 1-1 4-6 2 0 0 0 4 13 6 -
K. Williams * 17 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 2 2 3 5 -
C. Carter * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Lyons 27 4-8 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
J. Hammonds 26 3-7 1-2 3-8 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
S. Hempsey 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
M. Yon 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Brakeville 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Earls 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter