Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.0% | 92.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +10 (68-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 34 | 9-20 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | - |
| J. Hammonds * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Green | 22 | 6-8 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Yon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Barnhill | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Carter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moser * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | - |
| A. Marshall * | 35 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 15 | - |
| O. Bellfield * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Stanback * | 30 | 7-15 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| B. Massamba * | 24 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Wallace | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter