Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.9% | 93.1% | +14.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. Hammonds * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Green | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Williams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Yon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Kammerer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Earls | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Williams * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| D. Gordon * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| T. Snell * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Walker | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 22 | - |
| J. Fenton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. McDonald | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Adams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Dunning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter