Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.9% | 89.1% | +11.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +2 (62-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald * | 37 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| T. Broekhuis * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Stewart * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Fletcher * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| C. Carter | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| K. Williams | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| A. Brakeville | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Earls | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Simons * | 37 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| R. Rice * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Madison * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Jeffers * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Clarke * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Woods | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Hawley | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Smith | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Alexander | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter