Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons +16 (87-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ellis | 32 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 8-11 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 10 | - |
| J. Simmons | 25 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| J. Herbeck | 23 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Williams | 21 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| J. Harris | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Springer | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Pancoe | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Kincade | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. Stire | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Lenox | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Johnson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lyons | 37 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 10-14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 20 | - |
| T. Stewart | 33 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| C. Carter | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 19 | - |
| T. Fletcher | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| M. Fitzgerald | 20 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Broekhuis | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Olesinski | 13 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Williams | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Hempsey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Brakeville | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Barnhill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter